Defining the future of 1) urban transport, 2) freight transport, and 3) passenger car transport

The aim of the LEVITATE project is to prepare a new impact assessment framework to enable policymakers to manage the introduction of connected and automated transport systems, maximize the benefits and utilize the technologies to achieve societal objectives. As part of this work the LEVITATE project seeks to forecast societal level impacts of connected and automated transport systems (CATS). These include impacts on safety, environment, economy, and society.

The aim of Deliverables 5.1 (Defining the future of urban transport), 6.1 (Defining the future of passenger car transport), and 7.1 (Defining the future of freight transport) is to provide a working framework under which the future of urban transport, passenger car transport, and freight transport including the resulting impacts can be defined.

In order to progress in impact assessment, a future needed to be defined and this was considered by examining literature on available market penetration forecasts along with technology roadmaps and, information gathering through a stakeholders’ workshop. It must be emphasised that the technological roadmaps are generally focused on when a particular technology will be available but not on its market penetration.

Main findings from the stakeholder workshops:

• D5.1    While planning processes extend to 2040 for level 5 technology, there is no agreement on what to expect. Overall, workshop participants stated that CATS were mainly expected to supplement public transport functions.
• D6.1    While planning processes extend to year 2040 for level 5 technology,    no formal definitions of exactly what to expect are in place. Overall, workshop participants stated that CATS were mainly expected to supplement public transport functions.
• D7.1    Collaboration between freight operators should be enforced by facilitating data sharing, utilising consolidation centres, and improving the last mile solutions.

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